RB Leipzig 2-0 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.14
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
33%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
19.6
X/1
22%
3.67
X/2
6%
16.8
X/X
11%
8.28
2/1
6%
19.5
2/2
5%
11.55
2/X
4%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-5.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.21/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.43
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.6 Crosses 10.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.93 xG 1.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
480 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
11.03.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
17.09.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
02.05.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
11.12.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-1 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
27.02.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-2 HT 0-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
2-0
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.69 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
378 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig beat Mönchengladbach 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 49% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.69 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.50 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig 2-0 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 64%, draw 20%, Mönchengladbach 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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