Darmstadt 98 1-2 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
50%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
7%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.45
1/2
5%
21.2
1/X
6%
17.55
X/1
9%
12.35
X/2
21%
3.65
X/X
17%
6.21
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
24%
1.8
2/X
4%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
50%
Away Win
63%
-12.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 67%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.49/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.06
-25% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -25%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.7
25.3 Crosses 24.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 1.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 423
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-1 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
14.07.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 HAZ
28.06.2020 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-3 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
16.12.2019 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
02.04.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 1-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
01.11.2015 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-2
AWAY Stuttgart
1.71 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
404 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart nicked a narrow win over Darmstadt 98 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 56% of the ball to Stuttgart's 44%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.71 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.67 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Stuttgart?

Darmstadt 98 1-2 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 23%, draw 26%, Stuttgart 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024
17:30 Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Analysis →
17:30 Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Analysis →
17:30 Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →
17:30 Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Analysis →
20:30 RB Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Analysis →