Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Mainz 05
AL1
3-1
HT 2-1
Augsburg
AL1
1-2
HT 1-1
Mainz 05
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
4-1
HT 3-0
Augsburg
AL1
0-1
HT 0-1
Augsburg
AL1
Mainz 05 1-0 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 squeezed past Augsburg 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Mainz 05 had 46% of the ball to Augsburg's 54%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mainz 05 and 1.33 for Augsburg.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 vs Augsburg?
Mainz 05 1-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 vs Augsburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 41%, draw 28%, Augsburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.