Puebla 1-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Feb 2025

Puebla
1-2 HT 0-2
Club America
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Puebla vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puebla v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 59%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.17/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.11
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
17.5 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Puebla vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.61 xG 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
306 Passes 479
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Club America Club America 0-1 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
27.04.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
16.07.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
22.01.2023 Club America Club America 2-2 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
16.10.2022 Club America Club America 5-1 HT 2-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
13.10.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-6 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK

Puebla 1-2 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-2
AWAY Club America
0.84 xG 1.51
25% Ball Possession 75%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
102 Passes 517
55% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 17
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America squeezed past Puebla 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Puebla had 25% of the ball to Club America's 75%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.84 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puebla and 3.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Club America?

Puebla 1-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puebla 31%, draw 25%, Club America 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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