Queretaro 1-0 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.51
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.2 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.27 xG 1.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
28.02.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
16.07.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-1 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.03.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
12.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.03.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-0
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.39 xG 0.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
269 Passes 473
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro edged past Atletico San Luis 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Queretaro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Queretaro had 37% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 63%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queretaro and 2.17 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis?

Queretaro 1-0 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 38%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queretaro), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queretaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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