Club America vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Puebla — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Puebla
MEK
2-2
HT 1-0
Puebla
MEK
5-1
HT 2-1
Puebla
MEK
1-6
HT 1-2
Club America
MEK
1-2
HT 0-1
Club America
MEK
Club America 0-1 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla edged past Club America 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Club America carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Club America had 71% of the ball to Puebla's 29%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.64 — on chances, Club America could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Puebla.
What was the final score of Club America vs Puebla?
Club America 0-1 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Puebla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Club America 60%, draw 22%, Puebla 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.