Leon vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
4-1
HT 3-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
2-1
HT 1-1
Leon
MEK
1-1
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
Leon 1-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Leon and Santos Laguna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Leon at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Leon had 60% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 40%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.43 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leon and 1.33 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Leon 1-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Leon 53%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.