Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Toluca
MEK
1-2
HT 1-2
Atletico San Luis
MEK
Toluca 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca nicked a narrow win over Atletico San Luis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Toluca had 46% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 54%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.12 to 0.99.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toluca and 0.83 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
Toluca 2-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Toluca 59%, draw 20%, Atletico San Luis 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.