Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico San Luis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Atletico San Luis saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.12 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Toluca against 0.83 for Atletico San Luis.
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Result & Final Score
Toluca 2 - 1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Atletico San Luis Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Toluca 67%, draw 18%, Atletico San Luis 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.