Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlas v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Atlas
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Atlas 2-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas squeezed past Pumas UNAM 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Atlas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atlas had 42% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 58%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.01 to 1.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pumas UNAM.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atlas and 1.00 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?
Atlas 2-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlas vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlas 32%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.