Groningen 1-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away Pick
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.51
Over
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.34
2-3
39%
2.01
4-5
26%
2.63
6+
10%
6.26
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.34 — our 25% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.71
1/2
10%
19.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
9%
9.82
X/2
19%
4.63
X/X
8%
6.55
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.14
2/X
7%
13.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Groningen The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 59%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.25 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.11
1.44 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.94
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
16.1 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.42 xG 2.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
230 Passes 475
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
05.04.2025 Groningen Groningen 1-3 HT 1-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
23.11.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-0 HT 2-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
11.02.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
23.10.2022 Groningen Groningen 4-2 HT 3-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.01.2022 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
1-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.28 xG 2.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
226 Passes 485
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven edged past Groningen 2-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.50, about 67%.

The match data tells the story: PSV Eindhoven saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.28 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Groningen against 3.50 for PSV Eindhoven.

Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

Groningen 1-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Groningen 20%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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