AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
AZ Alkmaar v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and Ajax finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
The preview numbers (40% / 21% / 39%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals card split: both teams to score (60%) came in, over 2.5 goals (58%) didn't.
The match data tells the story: AZ Alkmaar had 38% of the ball to Ajax's 62%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.82 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.50 for Ajax.
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Result & Final Score
AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 40%, draw 21%, Ajax 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 went the other way.