PSV Eindhoven 5-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.57
2-3 Goals
36%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.54
6+ Goals
16%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.3
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
32.0
X/1
22%
3.5
X/2
8%
33.0
X/X
4%
11.2
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
7%
24.3
2/X
4%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.3pp
13%
Draw
13%
+0.2pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.80/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.28
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
44.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
24.7 Crosses 12.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Groningen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.50 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
461 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 6-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
23.10.2022 Groningen Groningen 4-2 HT 3-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.01.2022 Groningen Groningen 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
28.08.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-2 HT 3-2 Groningen Groningen HOL
24.04.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
13.09.2020 Groningen Groningen 1-3 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5-0
AWAY Groningen
4.41 xG 0.22
76% Ball Possession 24%
26 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
512 Passes 119
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
38 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Groningen 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 76% of the ball to Groningen's 24%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 4.41 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.17 for Groningen.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

PSV Eindhoven 5-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 68%, draw 13%, Groningen 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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