Feyenoord 3-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 24% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.5
X/1
22%
3.57
X/2
4%
19.55
X/X
12%
7.58
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
6%
15.2
2/X
6%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
2.52/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.66
+4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
43.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.4 Crosses 13.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.27 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
502 Passes 309
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
37 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-3 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
16.09.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 6-1 HT 3-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
01.03.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOK
12.02.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
13.08.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.12.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
3-0
AWAY Heerenveen
2.75 xG 0.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
551 Passes 311
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord swept aside Heerenveen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Feyenoord had 62% of the ball to Heerenveen's 38%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.75 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Heerenveen?

Feyenoord 3-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 61%, draw 24%, Heerenveen 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ BTTS No
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