Heracles 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

Heracles
2-2 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.27
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.22
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.1
2/2
10%
6.6
2/X
9%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.23/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.76
+24% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.1 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
3W-0D-3L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Heracles Heracles 0-5 HT 0-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
12.01.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
11.05.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
26.09.2021 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
30.07.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
21.02.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL

Heracles 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
2-2
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
3.11 xG 2.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
432 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and RKC Waalwijk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Heracles had 64% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 36%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 3.11 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heracles and 2.00 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Heracles 2-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Heracles 50%, draw 25%, RKC Waalwijk 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heracles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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