Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
3-0 HT 2-0
Almere City
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
19%
3.74
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
13%
5.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
9%
9.54
2/X
4%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.34/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.95
+20% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.4 Crosses 18.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Almere City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL
28.10.2023 Almere City Almere City 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.10.2021 Almere City Almere City 0-2 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
17.04.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
21.11.2020 Almere City Almere City 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
12.01.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2

Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3-0
AWAY Almere City
2.74 xG 0.48
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
381 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles cruised past Almere City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 58% of the ball to Almere City's 42%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.74 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.83 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City?

Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 53%, draw 26%, Almere City 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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