Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2024

Fortuna Sittard
1-2 HT 0-1
Twente
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
10%
8.76
X/2
20%
4.21
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.4
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Sittard v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.46/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.03
+37% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
19.0 Crosses 22.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Twente
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.71 xG 1.93
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
203 Passes 424
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
08.10.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
11.03.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-3 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
14.08.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
07.05.2022 Twente Twente 1-2 HT 1-2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
14.08.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL

Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
1-2
AWAY Twente
1.23 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
269 Passes 436
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente nicked a narrow win over Fortuna Sittard 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 41% of the ball to Twente's 59%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fortuna Sittard.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.17 for Twente.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?

Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 28%, draw 24%, Twente 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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