Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tlaxcala v Leones Negros Udeg — Team-Based Signals
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Tlaxcala
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
Tlaxcala
MEK2
Tlaxcala 5-2 Leones Negros Udeg — Actual Match Statistics
Tlaxcala cruised past Leones Negros Udeg 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tlaxcala as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tlaxcala had 42% of the ball to Leones Negros Udeg's 58%, shots finished 10-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 3.00 for Leones Negros Udeg.
What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Tlaxcala 5-2 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 45%, draw 27%, Leones Negros Udeg 28%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tlaxcala), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.