Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.88
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
02.02.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 5-1 HT 3-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.08.2024 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 0-2 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
24.03.2024 Tlaxcala 0-4 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
30.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
01.04.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
01.09.2022 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Tlaxcala shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leones Negros Udeg at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.83 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Tlaxcala?

Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 64%, draw 20%, Tlaxcala 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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