Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Venados — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Venados
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-0
HT 0-0
Venados
MEK2
Venados squeezed past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Venados found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.17 for Venados.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-5 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados?
Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 35%, draw 29%, Venados 36%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.