Monarcas Morelia 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monarcas Morelia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
06.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
18.10.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
29.01.2024 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.07.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 HT 2-0 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
08.03.2023 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 1-2 HT 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
25.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-2 HT 2-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
POST-MATCH Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia ran out comfortable winners over Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.83 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Monarcas Morelia 3-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 41%, draw 29%, Mineros de Zacatecas 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monarcas Morelia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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