Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
Sporting Cristal 1-2 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Cristal at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 65% of the ball to Melgar's 35%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.09 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.00 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Sporting Cristal 1-2 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 50%, draw 25%, Melgar 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.