Manisa FK 4-1 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.95
X/2
12%
5.4
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
2/2
22%
3.52
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.41/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.19
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.2 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Boluspor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.31 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Boluspor Boluspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
21.02.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
28.09.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
05.05.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.12.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.01.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
4-1
AWAY Boluspor
2.22 xG 0.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
207 Passes 366
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK ran out comfortable winners over Boluspor 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Boluspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 40% of the ball to Boluspor's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.22 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Manisa FK and 1.67 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Manisa FK 4-1 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 34%, draw 24%, Boluspor 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boluspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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