Keçiörengücü 3-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
21%
4.75
X/2
9%
7.43
X/X
10%
4.64
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.26/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.38
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.3 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
246 Passes 313
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
26.01.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.08.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.03.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
3-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.17 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
215 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü beat Bandırmaspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 44% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 56%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.17 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor?

Keçiörengücü 3-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 51%, draw 23%, Bandırmaspor 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5
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