Zamora 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
0.76/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-13% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
15.9 Crosses 17.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.56 xG 1.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
03.02.2025 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.10.2024 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 3-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-5 HT 1-4 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
3-2
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.57 xG 2.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
228 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zamora as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 46% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 54%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.57 to 2.07 — on chances, Estudiantes De Merida could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamora and 2.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Zamora 3-2 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zamora 44%, draw 28%, Estudiantes De Merida 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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