Radcliffe Borough 1-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.81/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.20
+36% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.11.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton nicked a narrow win over Radcliffe Borough 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Curzon Ashton as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 49% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 51%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Curzon Ashton?

Radcliffe Borough 1-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 32%, draw 27%, Curzon Ashton 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curzon Ashton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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