Dumbarton 0-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.98/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.00
-18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
04.01.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
26.10.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
03.08.2024 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
18.07.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
18.04.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
14.04.2018 Inverness CT Inverness CT 5-1 HT 2-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT edged past Dumbarton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dumbarton and 1.83 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Inverness CT?

Dumbarton 0-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 25%, draw 24%, Inverness CT 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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