Elche vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-2
Elche
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
İS2
2-2
HT 2-2
Elche
İS2
Elche 3-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Elche got the better of CD Castellon 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Elche had 58% of the ball to CD Castellon's 42%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.87 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elche and 1.50 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Elche vs CD Castellon?
Elche 3-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elche 51%, draw 29%, CD Castellon 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.