Real Zaragoza 2-4 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 37% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.5
X/2
9%
7.54
X/X
15%
4.27
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.04
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.7pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.34/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.8 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
285 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Eldense Eldense 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.01.2024 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.09.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-4
AWAY Eldense
3.24 xG 1.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
331 Passes 154
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
43 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense saw off Real Zaragoza 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 62% of the ball to Eldense's 38%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 3.24 to 1.21 — on chances, Real Zaragoza could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.00 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Eldense?

Real Zaragoza 2-4 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 43%, draw 29%, Eldense 28%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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