Sporting Gijon 1-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
16%
6.31
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
10%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +30%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.38
+6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.7 Crosses 12.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Racing Santander
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 188
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İSPK
14.09.2024 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
30.03.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
07.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.01.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
11.09.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-1
AWAY Racing Santander
0.75 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
252 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon and Racing Santander couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 50% of the ball to Racing Santander's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.75 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Gijon and 2.00 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander?

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 42%, draw 26%, Racing Santander 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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