Mirandes 1-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.93
X/2
15%
6.14
X/X
14%
3.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.16
2/X
9%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.16
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.7 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 336
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 4-1 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
14.04.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
26.11.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
04.03.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
26.11.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
30.04.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.44 xG 0.74
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
148 Passes 302
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes squeezed past Real Oviedo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mirandes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mirandes had 38% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 62%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mirandes and 1.67 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Real Oviedo?

Mirandes 1-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 39%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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