Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2025

Holstein Kiel
2-2 HT 1-1
Stuttgart
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.62
1/2
9%
19.0
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
11.75
X/2
12%
4.21
X/X
8%
6.99
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.83
2/X
8%
15.3
Value flag · X/1 at 11.75 — our 13% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+13.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
61%
-16.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.14/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.07
+56% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +15%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 84%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.3
15.8 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
259 Passes 440
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1
24.05.2020 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL2
20.10.2019 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
08.08.2015 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AFK

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
2-2
AWAY Stuttgart
1.40 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
402 Passes 370
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel and Stuttgart shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 52% of the ball to Stuttgart's 48%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.40 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holstein Kiel and 1.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart?

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 32%, draw 23%, Stuttgart 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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