Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.57
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
16%
5.75
X/2
13%
6.17
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
3.99
2/X
9%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.79/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.33
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 72%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.7 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg
0W-0D-6L
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.95 xG 2.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
06.04.2024 Freiburg Freiburg 1-4 HT 0-3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
12.11.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
06.05.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 0-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
02.05.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 1-5 HT 0-4 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AFK
09.11.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg
0-0
AWAY RB Leipzig
0.51 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
388 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg and RB Leipzig fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg had 53% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 47%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.51 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Freiburg and 3.17 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 41%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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