RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Leipzig v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
1-5
HT 0-4
RB Leipzig
AFK
3-1
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AFK
RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig saw off Freiburg 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, RB Leipzig had 43% of the ball to Freiburg's 57%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.84 to 1.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.83 for Freiburg.
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Freiburg?
RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Freiburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 51%, draw 24%, Freiburg 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig) — while BTTS No went the other way.