St. Pauli 0-0 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.48
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.79
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.96
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 37%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.09/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.37
-93% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
25.0 Crosses 18.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
16.04.2011 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
21.11.2010 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
26.01.2002 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
04.08.2001 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-0
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.79 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
400 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli and Wolfsburg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 54% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 46%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for St. Pauli and 1.25 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?

St. Pauli 0-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 39%, draw 26%, Wolfsburg 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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