Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Mar 2025

Bayer Leverkusen
0-2 HT 0-1
Werder Bremen
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.6
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.7
X/1
18%
3.86
X/2
7%
15.65
X/X
10%
7.45
2/1
12%
20.45
2/2
6%
12.9
2/X
6%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
2.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.08
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.6 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Werder Bremen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
500 Passes 373
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
14.04.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
25.11.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
12.03.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-3 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
17.09.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
08.05.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
0-2
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.62 xG 1.05
73% Ball Possession 27%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
625 Passes 187
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 22
38 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen saw off Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayer Leverkusen at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 73% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 27%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.62 to 1.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bayer Leverkusen.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.83 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?

Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 62%, draw 20%, Werder Bremen 18%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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