Penybont vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Bala Town
GAL
2-1
HT 2-0
Penybont
GAL
2-2
HT 1-0
Bala Town
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Penybont
GAL
Penybont squeezed past Bala Town 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penybont and 1.33 for Bala Town.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Bala Town?
Penybont 3-2 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Bala Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Penybont 47%, draw 30%, Bala Town 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.