The New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
14%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.8pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
3.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.01
+42% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
475 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
29.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
5-1
AWAY Haverfordwest County
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints ran out comfortable winners over Haverfordwest County 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 64% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 36%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for The New Saints and 0.67 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

The New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 65%, draw 19%, Haverfordwest County 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5
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