Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cardiff MU 4-2 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff MU beat Caernarfon Town 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cardiff MU found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cardiff MU had 50% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 50%, shots finished 15-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MU 4-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 36%, draw 28%, Caernarfon Town 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.