Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
Caernarfon Town squeezed past Cardiff MU 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 2.17 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Cardiff MU 1-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 44%, draw 27%, Caernarfon Town 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cardiff MU), Under 2.5 went the other way.