Atletico San Luis 1-0 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.52/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.71
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.4 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-4 HT 0-3 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
08.04.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-3 HT 2-2 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
26.10.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-2 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.04.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
04.08.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
21.01.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-0
AWAY FC Juarez
1.28 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis squeezed past FC Juarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 50% of the ball to FC Juarez's 50%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.28 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Juarez led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.67 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?

Atletico San Luis 1-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 41%, draw 26%, FC Juarez 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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