Tigres UANL 1-0 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.76/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.81
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.3 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.59 xG 1.09
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
417 Passes 229
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
29.01.2024 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
03.09.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 5-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
17.04.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
31.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 1-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.04.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-0
AWAY Queretaro
0.71 xG 0.41
80% Ball Possession 20%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
739 Passes 136
93% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL nicked a narrow win over Queretaro 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 80% of the ball to Queretaro's 20%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.71 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.50 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Queretaro?

Tigres UANL 1-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 59%, draw 23%, Queretaro 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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