Antalyaspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
13%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
12%
6.1
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
10%
4.32
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.66
2/X
7%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.43/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.9 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
14.04.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
26.11.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
20.01.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.08.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
16.04.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.59 xG 1.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
379 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor nicked a narrow win over Çaykur Rizespor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Antalyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 58% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 42%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.59 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antalyaspor and 2.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 38%, draw 24%, Çaykur Rizespor 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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