Trabzonspor 1-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
31%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
23%
4.04
X/2
5%
14.45
X/X
6%
7.49
2/1
8%
19.45
2/2
6%
11.15
2/X
7%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.8pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.98/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.81
+12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.7 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
400 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
25.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.01.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
12.08.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
06.05.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-2
AWAY Hatayspor
2.19 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
431 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Box Touches 3
39 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor nicked a narrow win over Trabzonspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Trabzonspor at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 61% of the ball to Hatayspor's 39%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.19 to 0.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Trabzonspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.17 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor?

Trabzonspor 1-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 64%, draw 18%, Hatayspor 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Trabzonspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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