Kayserispor 3-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.34
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.15
X/2
12%
5.3
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.57/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.17
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.0 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 417
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.02.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-3 HT 0-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.10.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
02.02.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
21.08.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.01.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
3-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.12 xG 0.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 387
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor got the better of Başakşehir FK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Kayserispor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 39% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 61%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.12 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 0.83 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Başakşehir FK?

Kayserispor 3-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 32%, draw 29%, Başakşehir FK 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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