Slavia Prag 3-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
4.14/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.35
+54% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.4 Crosses 10.2
3.8 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.63 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
10.05.2025 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
08.03.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
06.10.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-1 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
11.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.03.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
3-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.34 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
229 Passes 180
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag beat Sparta Prag 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 55% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 45%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.34 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slavia Prag and 0.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Slavia Prag 3-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 47%, draw 26%, Sparta Prag 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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