Karvina 1-2 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.46/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.20
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.1 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.50 xG 1.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
27.07.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
19.05.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.02.2024 Karvina Karvina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
13.08.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-2
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.61 xG 1.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
317 Passes 142
80% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; FK Pardubice found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Karvina had 63% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 37%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.61 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Pardubice led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karvina and 1.83 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Karvina 1-2 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karvina 39%, draw 25%, FK Pardubice 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karvina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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