Mixco 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.58/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.21
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.01.2026 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
07.11.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.08.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
28.04.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.03.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
22.09.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
1-0
AWAY Guastatoya
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Guastatoya 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mixco had 53% of the ball to Guastatoya's 47%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mixco and 1.00 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Mixco 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mixco 54%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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