Guastatoya 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.64/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.13
-3% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mixco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
22.09.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.02.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 1-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
17.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
14.08.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya squeezed past Mixco 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 0.83 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Mixco?

Guastatoya 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 47%, draw 28%, Mixco 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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