Marquense 2-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.60/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.47
-5% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
25.11.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 4-0 HT 3-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
01.09.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense beat Malacateco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marquense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Marquense and 2.33 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Malacateco?

Marquense 2-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marquense 41%, draw 33%, Malacateco 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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