Antigua GFC 2-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-14.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.66
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Achuapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
18.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
18.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-2 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.01.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.07.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC beat Achuapa 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.00 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Antigua GFC 2-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 50%, draw 27%, Achuapa 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5
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